Horse-race time!
Tell us your predictions for Super Tuesday.
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5 comments:
Hillary's increasingly mean-spirited and divisive campaign against Barack Obama will backfire on her. Bill will be shown definitively to be a net negative to her campaign as supporters grow alienated; in addition, Edwards supporters will move to Obama en masse. As a result of the negative tactics of the Clinton camp as well as Edwards's departure last week, Obama will walk away with more Super Tuesday wins, both delegate-wise and with the popular vote.
Despite the crazies of the GOP balking at a McCain run for the president, their other choice is a pandering and bland suit. With Huckabee still in the race, Romney's potential support base will be divided. McCain will come away with the most states by far; Romney and Huckabee will share the leftovers.
I think Clinton will very slightly edge out Obama in what will be close to a statistical tie. Something like 52-48, or 51-49. Quite possibly we will see a split between the popular vote and the delegate count, with Obama winning the delegates and Clinton winning the popular. Since the states award delegates proportionally, both campaigns will continue full-force into the late primary states. Washington and Louisiana will get the type of campaign coverage usually reserved for Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina.
McCain will handily win the Republican nomination by taking New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut, three big winner-take-all states.
Ron Paul will win Alaska.
I think the candidate I want to win isn't going to, I think the Republicans are going to vote for the worst possible candidate, I think Americans are stupid and ignorant, and I don't think I'm egocentric.
I think Chris is correct. It will be extremely close on the Demcrat side. I think ultimately Billary will get the nomination, but I hope I'm wrong.
I think it will be interesting to see whether the southern states will re-invigorate Mike Huckabee's campaign. I can't help but wonder if the general public has all but ruled him out of contention due to his bombastic start and subsequent fizzle. That situation would be ideal for McCain. He's set up to take a lot of key states as front-runner, so at best his opposition will be divided between Mitt Romney and Huckabee. Romney was correct in asserting that one of them should drop out to better facilitate competition with McCain, however, in pig-headed Republican fashion, Huckabee insists it should be Romney backing him up.
But the question still lingers on the air: is John McCain a strong enough presidential candidate to secure a right-wing White House for a third consecutive term?
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